He won. She lost.

… This election will be studied and debated for years to come. But as I gathered with colleagues recently in New Orleans for the American Association for Public Opinion Research’s annual conference, some things became clearer to me. For one, the trouble with the 2016 election wasn’t about the polls. […] Read more »

Aversion to difference

Last week, I examined two of the three strands of conservative thinking — aversion to government and aversion to change — which Donald Trump melded together in his successful effort to capture the White House. Here I’ll focus on the third — aversion to difference — which mostly lay dormant […] Read more »

Young and old are voting very differently in the U.K. and U.S. That’s a big deal.

Last week’s British election illustrated one of the most remarkable developments in recent elections: the propensity of younger generations not only to vote but also to vote overwhelming for older socialist leaders advocating left-wing economic policies last fashionable during the 1970s. This cleavage between younger and older voters seems to […] Read more »

How attitudes about immigration, race and religion contributed to Trump victory

The story of President Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton has been analyzed and reanalyzed, told and retold since November. Is there more to add? The short answer, based on four reports released on Tuesday, is yes, and what the reports say is provocative. The reports debunk some of the assertions […] Read more »

The Impact of ‘Modern Sexism’ on the 2016 Presidential Election

On June 6, 2016, Hillary Clinton became the first woman to earn a majority of pledged delegates to secure a major party’s presidential nomination. … Does Clinton’s successful nomination denote a post-sexist political environment, reflecting a steady change in attitudes over the years? Is her successful nomination a watershed moment […] Read more »

The Democratic Party Is in Worse Shape Than You Thought

Sifting through the wreckage of the 2016 election, Democratic pollsters, strategists and sympathetic academics have reached some unnerving conclusions. What the autopsy reveals is that Democratic losses among working class voters were not limited to whites; that crucial constituencies within the party see its leaders as alien; and that unity […] Read more »