Russian Meddling Was a Drop in an Ocean of American-made Discord

… “Partisanship can even alter memory, implicit evaluation, and even perceptual judgment,” the political scientists Jay J. Van Bavel and Andrea Pereira wrote in a recent paper. “The human attraction to fake and untrustworthy news” — a danger cited by political scientists far more frequently than orchestrated meddling — “poses […] Read more »

How Much Did Russian Interference Affect The 2016 Election?

One of my least favorite questions is: “Did Russian interference cost Hillary Clinton the 2016 election?” The question is newly relevant because of special counsel Robert Mueller’s indictment of 13 Russians on Friday on charges that they used a variety of shady techniques to discourage people from voting for Clinton […] Read more »

Trump may owe his 2016 victory to ‘fake news,’ new study suggests

Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton concedes the 2016 presidential election. AP Photo/Matt Rourke Richard Gunther, The Ohio State University; Erik C. Nisbet, The Ohio State University, and Paul Beck, The Ohio State University Could “fake news” have helped determine the outcome of the 2016 presidential election? Social media users and intensely […] Read more »

Better poll sampling would have cast more doubt on the potential for Hillary Clinton to win the 2016 election

… In a perfect world, polls sample from the population of voters, who would state their political preference perfectly clearly and then vote accordingly. However, results from small random samples can be quite unreliable due to extremely narrow electoral margins. To calculate the probability of winning the 2016 US presidential […] Read more »

For Donald Trump, campaigning by Twitter limited the public’s access to his policy positions and strategies

Donald Trump has ensured that Twitter is now inextricably tied to the Presidency of the United States. Over the past 18 months, the social network has become central to political communication, alongside official campaign press releases. Trump, both as presidential candidate, and now as Commander in Chief, has used Twitter […] Read more »

Hope from the Heartland: How Democrats Can Better Serve the Midwest by Bringing Rural, Working Class Wisdom to Washington

Democrats’ national level of support has seen better days. Much better. By the numbers, Democrats are at their lowest in nearly 100 years. While the party had a successful night in off-year elections on Nov. 7, 2017, and in the Dec. 12, 2017, special election in Alabama for U.S. Senate, […] Read more »

‘Fake News’: Wide Reach but Little Impact, Study Suggests

Fake news evolved from seedy internet sideshow to serious electoral threat so quickly that behavioral scientists had little time to answer basic questions about it, like who was reading what, how much real news they also consumed and whether targeted fact-checking efforts ever hit a target. … But now the […] Read more »

19 Things We Learned from the 2016 Election

We can all agree that the presidential election result was a shocker. According to news reports, even the Trump campaign team was stunned to come up a winner. So now seems like a good time to go over various theories floating around in political science and political reporting and see […] Read more »