At this point in the 1992 election cycle, George H.W. Bush’s approval rating was over 80 percent. A little more than a year later, he trailed the independent candidate Ross Perot in national polls. So it is probably premature to confidently assess whether there’s an opening for Howard Schultz, a […] Read more »
An Historical Rarity: A Four-Party Presidential Election
There is no doubt that this is a high stakes election. It is not Tweedledum and Tweedledee, as former Alabama Gov. George Wallace famously said of the major parties when he ran as a third-party candidate nearly a half century ago. Almost everyone nowadays agrees that a Donald Trump presidency […] Read more »
The Millennial Strategy
Millennials are poised to give Hillary Clinton and Democrats a big margin in November’s election if they are engaged to vote and if progressives are smart in dealing with the third party vote. Millennial voters are in a very different place than they were two weeks ago, according to a […] Read more »
Which States Can Gary Johnson and Jill Stein Spoil?
… Not all third-party pressures are equal in the Electoral College. Some states have long histories of strong independent leanings—among them are Alaska, Utah, and Johnson’s home of state of New Mexico. Johnson is polling strongly in all three. And while Alaska and Utah are liable to stay their usual […] Read more »
AP-GfK poll: Third party backers a wild card in 2016 race
Most people who are drawn to third party candidates in the presidential election aren’t sold on their choice, making these voters wild cards in an already unpredictable contest. A shift in their support toward either of the major party nominees — away from Libertarian Gary Johnson, Jill Stein of the […] Read more »
Given the choice for a third party, no one bails as fast as Bernie Sanders supporters
When Quinnipiac University asked voters ages 18 to 34 who they prefer in the presidential race, Hillary Clinton was the runaway favorite. Not runaway in the sense of will-Donald-Trump-get-any-votes-from-millennials-at-all, but runaway in the sense that Clinton had a 21-point lead. In 2012, President Obama won 18- to 29-year-olds by 23 […] Read more »