Explaining Trump

… Although a substantial answer will not emerge for years, this post is my own morning-after answer to the “WTHH?” question. I make three arguments: First, Trump’s electoral college victory was a fluke, a small accident with vast implications, but from a social science perspective not very interesting. Second, the […] Read more »

Can You Trust Trump’s Approval Rating Polls?

For perhaps the first time since last November’s election, polls are making headlines again. Surveys from CNN, Gallup, ABC News and The Washington Post, NBC News and the Wall Street Journal and Quinnipiac University all have Donald Trump with net-negative numbers on handling his presidential transition and duties as president-elect. … […] Read more »