Democrats Must Take a Shot at Texas

When Democrats are desperate, they dream of Texas. … Texas is a large and utterly elusive grail. A 2016 simulation incorporating demographic and political trends in the state concluded that Texas would not fall into the Democratic column anytime in the next four presidential elections. “The juggernaut there is whites […] Read more »

Democrats Face Steep Climb to Win Back the Senate

It’s hard to ignore the storm clouds gathering for Republicans looking toward the 2018 elections. Midterms are typically referenda on the incumbent president and the party in power, and Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings are lower than those for any newly elected president. Worse still, a badly divided Republican Party holds […] Read more »

How Single-Payer Health Care Could Trip Up Democrats

Many Democrats giddy from their recent health policy successes are starting to reach enthusiastically for a mountaintop goal: establishing a single-payer system for all Americans. … “Democrats are overwhelmingly for something that sounds like an all-government or significantly government-run system,” said Robert Blendon, a health policy professor at Harvard who […] Read more »

Trump’s Turn To Democrats Poses Fresh Challenge To His Loyal Base

… Last week, faced with one natural disaster festering in Texas and another impending in Florida, Trump used a storm relief bill to save Congress from a fiscal disaster of its own making. Moreover, he did it by shunning his own party’s leaders in the House and Senate and cutting […] Read more »

New Polling on Voters’ Priorities for Healthcare After the Failure of Repeal and Replace

Our recent national survey of 1,017 voters, conducted August 18 to 21, 2017, confirms that the efforts of President Trump and Republicans in Congress to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act already have put them very far at odds with the public and are a major political vulnerability for […] Read more »

The Struggle Between Clinton and Sanders Is Not Over

The surge in Democratic enthusiasm and activism driven by animosity to President Trump is proving to be a mixed blessing. Renewed fervor improves Democratic prospects in 2018 House and Senate elections. At the same time, in a development reminiscent of the Tea Party Republican insurgency of 2010, moderate and centrist […] Read more »

2018 Could Be The Year Of The Angry White College Graduate

Even with the political winds at their back, Democrats enter the 2018 congressional midterms at a historic geographic disadvantage. They also face demographic hurdles: Midterm electorates tend to be older and whiter than those that show up in presidential years. That’s part of the reason Republicans picked up so many […] Read more »

Study Finds Women See Female Lawmakers As More Competent, Having More Integrity

… A new study hints at where candidates and legislators can find their strongest supporters: Women tend to think more highly of female legislators on a variety of measures. With men, though, it depends on party; Republican men have reservations about the women representing them, whereas Democratic men in some […] Read more »