Explaining Republican Loyalty to Trump: The Crucial Role of Negative Partisanship

Key Points• Negative partisanship — the tendency for partisans to be animated by dislike for the other side — has become a powerful force in American politics.• This dynamic makes it harder for partisans to cross over to the other side and keeps general elections quite competitive.• Attacks on Donald […] Read more »

More women than men have college degrees. That’s good news for Democrats.

… Back in 1970, only 11% of Americans 25-or-older had a bachelor’s degree. The number has risen every decade to roughly 38% in 2021, according to the data from the Census’s Current Population Survey. The jump since 2010 has been especially sharp and one of the big drivers of that […] Read more »

Economic perceptions continue to be a weak spot for Biden

President Biden’s approval ratings have remained low since earlier this summer, with 42% approving of his handling of his job as president overall and just 36% approving of his handling of the economy. Forty-two percent also rate his handling of foreign policy as good. The AP-NORC poll conducted in June […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Ramaswamy rising, as DeSantis loses ground in GOP primary

Former President Donald Trump maintains his large lead in the Republican presidential primary contest, as support doubles for Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis hits a new low, according to a new Fox News national survey. Fifty-three percent of Republican primary voters prefer Trump, down a touch from 56% in June. […] Read more »

Abortion Is Inflaming the GOP’s Biggest Electoral Problem

The escalating political struggle over abortion is compounding the GOP’s challenges in the nation’s largest and most economically vibrant metropolitan areas. The biggest counties in Ohio voted last week overwhelmingly against the ballot initiative pushed by Republicans and anti-abortion forces to raise the threshold for passing future amendments to the […] Read more »

Democrats aren’t the only ones voting for abortion rights, Ohio shows

The fallout from the Supreme Court’s 2022 Dobbs decision continued last week in Ohio where voters defeated a plan that would have made it more difficult to change the state constitution, with an amendment aimed at securing abortion rights on the ballot this fall. For years abortion has been thought […] Read more »