Obama pollster Cornell Belcher on the failures that led to President Trump

The Democratic Party is continuing its postmortem after Hillary Clinton’s unexpected defeat. Many challenges and puzzles will need to be resolved. … Some have suggested that Democrats should abandon “identity politics” and focus exclusively on winning back white working-class voters. While Barack Obama won two terms — and left office […] Read more »

Republicans used to fear Russians. Here’s what they think now.

For decades, the Republican Party has been more hawkish toward Russia than Democrats. That’s changed with President Trump’s election. Even everyday Republicans are now more positive than Democrats toward Russia, according to several opinion polls. In fact, on the issue of Russia cyber-meddling in the U.S. elections, Republican public opinion […] Read more »

Why is immigration such a problem for the Democratic Party?

… For the past fifty years, the Democratic Party has been the moving force behind rights movements generally, including, prominently, immigrant rights. Over that same time period, the Republican Party has been, and still is, the political arm of those opposed to the expansion of civil rights. This division has […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Voters divided over Trump in first presidential report card

It’s been about three weeks since President Donald Trump’s inauguration. The Fox News Poll checked in with voters nationwide to get a read on how things are going. Here are five findings on the new administration. Voters feel: Divided over Trump. A bit more confident in Trump’s judgment than they […] Read more »

This is why Democrats lose in ‘rural’ postindustrial America

… In my earlier post I suggested that voters in rural areas and small industrial towns are often two rather distinct demographic groups that should not be conflated. Yes, Democratic candidates lost votes in both postindustrial towns and their surrounding rural environs. But their losses were especially dramatic in the […] Read more »