Party switching – the Case for Racial Resentment

… If racial animus has the power to draw those with a high propensity of racial resentment into the Republican tent, can it then function as a wedge-issue, potentially alienating traditionally Republican voters from Republican candidates? Tests of this hypothesis are difficult, mostly because Big-N-data on resentment that would permit county-by-county analyses are hard to come by, and we have had only few elections since 2016. Over the last months, PredictWise has collected such data designed to answer this and similar questions. CONT.

Tobi Konitzer (Stanford) & David Rothschild (Microsoft Research), PredictWise