The Governors: Judge 2018 by the Big States

… In assessing 2018’s gubernatorial landscape, the question is not whether the Democrats will add more seats to their gubernatorial stable, but rather how many and which ones.

The Republicans are at such a high-water mark that it will be hard for them to net seats. They are defending 26 of the 36 seats being contested this year, while the Democrats are only defending nine. Add to that challenging map the fact that half of the 26 Republican-held governorships are open seats, as well as the usual midterm trend that breaks against the White House even in non-federal races, and it becomes even harder to imagine a net Republican gain. CONT.

Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball