Taking a Deeper Dive into Recent Congressional Generic Ballot Polls

At first glance, there seems to be a dramatic change in just a short time in the generic congressional ballot question. Last week, The Marist Poll showed a 15 point Democratic lead over the Republicans 51% to 36%. This week, the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll has the Democrats over the Republicans by a mere 3 points. Both polls have the same methods, sample size, and question. So, let’s take a closer look. CONT.

Lee Miringoff, Marist Poll