Assume, for the moment, that next year’s midterm elections go exactly like this year’s special and general elections. What would happen?
The Democrats would post sweeping gains. They would win the House national popular vote, probably by a wide margin. But the battle for House control would be close. The Democrats might be modest favorites to retake the chamber, but it would probably be fairer to characterize the race as a tossup. CONT.
Nate Cohn, New York Times