Governors 2017-2018: The Democrats’ Complicated Path to Big Gains

A couple of weeks ago, Crystal Ball senior columnist Alan Abramowitz unveiled a model for predicting party change in next year’s gubernatorial elections. The results were rosy for Democrats: The model suggested Democrats should gain somewhere between six to nine governorships depending on the Democratic lead in House generic ballot polling. …

And yet, at this early point, it may be that the Democrats will have a hard time realizing the potential that the Abramowitz model illustrates. CONT.

Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball