Republican Greg Gianforte’s 6 percentage point win in last month’s Montana special election was just ambiguous enough that both sides could find something to like. …
Luckily, however, U.S. House elections aren’t the only special elections that have taken place this year. Since Trump took office, voters have gone to the polls 24 times in 13 states to fill vacancies in their state legislatures — giving us a data set that is robust enough for us to start identifying patterns. CONT.
Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight