The results of individual special elections, like Thursday’s in Montana between Democrat Rob Quist and Republican Greg Gianforte, can’t always foretell what will happen in the next high-stakes midterm. Each district presents its own unique set of variables, like flawed candidates or dreadfully unpopular governors.
But taken collectively, the margins in specials can tell us a good deal about the political environment — and so far, it’s looking really bad for Republicans. CONT.
David Wasserman, Cook Political Report