With President Trump’s 100th day in office approaching, analysts and pundits are taking stock of his performance. How’s he doing? The simplest, most common way to answer that question is to look at Trump’s approval rating (it’s low, but the bottom hasn’t fallen out). And that’s a perfectly fine measure by which to judge the White House; approval ratings tell us how Americans feel about Trump, and — eventually — they’ll do a good job at approximating his chances of re-election.
But presidential approval is not a great measure of the more immediate electoral issue: How will the president’s party do in the midterm elections? CONT.
Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight
Recent polls: Congressional midterm elections