When faced with highly uncertain conditions, military units and major corporations sometimes use an exercise called scenario planning. The idea is to consider a broad range of possibilities for how the future might unfold to help guide long-term planning and preparation. The goal is not necessarily to assess the relative likelihood of each scenario so much as to keep an open mind so you’re not so surprised when events don’t unfold quite as you’d expected.
This technique might be useful in the case of President Trump. … Here, then, is a list of 14 plausible futures for Trump, grouped into a few broad categories. CONT.
Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight