… Trump voters believe (75 percent to 25 percent) that with Trump’s tax plan the percent of income paid to taxes will fall more for the middle class than the rich (Clinton voters were 33 percent to 67 percent in the other direction). Despite what his tax plan actually says it will do, Trump kept promising that his tax plan was all about the middle class. And, the incoming Secretary of the Treasury explicitly stated that there will be no tax cut for the rich, just the middle class. If Trump and Congress pass a tax plan that looks like his tax plan, he may be in trouble, because it will be unpopular and his supporters expect him to do something else. CONT.
Tobias Konitzer, Sam Corbett-Davies & David Rothschild, PredictWise