60 Days Until Iowa: Are the Polls Predicting the Winners?

… Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump now hold comfortable leads in almost all the national polls and most state surveys, though Bernie Sanders is neck and neck with Clinton in the Granite State. What does history say about the predictive power of both the national polls and the state polls at this point in the process? Should we trust the predictive power of the current state and national polls?

The short answer is no. CONT.

Alfred J. Tuchfarber, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

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