Lately, pundits and punters seem bullish on Donald Trump, whose chances of winning the Republican presidential nomination recently inched above 20 percent for the first time at the betting market Betfair. …
If past nomination races are any guide, the vast majority of eventual Republican voters haven’t made up their minds yet.
It can be easy to forget it if you cover politics for a living, but most people aren’t paying all that much attention to the campaign right now. CONT.
Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight