It feels like déjà vu all over again: The polls in a major election were off by a wide margin. The surveys leading up to Tuesday’s gubernatorial election in Kentucky pointed to a close fight between Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Matt Bevin, with Conway holding a slight edge in all but one poll. Instead, Bevin won 53 percent to 44 percent.
It was only the latest in a series of high-profile polling errors over the past couple of years.
So is polling broken and not to be trusted heading into the 2016 presidential election, as some have argued? CONT.
Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight