Hate the Polls? Blame the Media.

OK, let’s talk early polls in presidential elections. What exactly do they tell us?

They tell us what people are hearing, and sometimes that will matter. While nomination surveys can’t successfully predict what will happen in next year’s primaries and caucuses, let alone the general election next November, they can — interpreted carefully — say something about what’s happened so far. CONT.

Jonathan Bernstein, Bloomberg View

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