The Battle of 2014

… So the $16-trillion question is: With 35 Senate seats up for grabs next fall, can the Republicans win control of the upper chamber? …

Obviously, the unique dynamics of individual races will sometimes be decisive; but on average, races tend to balance themselves out. More generally, such contests are structured by three broad factors: the relative exposure of the parties, the political standing of the president, and the pace of economic growth. Let’s take each in turn. CONT.

Jay Cost, The Weekly Standard