Democratic Takeover of the House Is Still a Long Shot

Those who already are saying that the House of Representatives is now “in play” are getting a little ahead of their skis—forgetting a few key factors. At the same time, however, it’s no longer fair to say that there is virtually zero or at most a minimal chance that Republicans will lose their majority. Recent actions and behavior during the shutdown make that an equally risky argument to make. While it is still not likely, a discussion of what specifically would have to happen to make a Democratic majority a reality is in order.

Why isn’t the Republican House majority already in immediate danger? [cont.]

Charlie Cook