Republicans’ chance to win back the United States Senate in 2014 are up. Analysts from Nate Silver to Sean Trende put the chances at just south to about 50% for Republicans to take the six seats necessary to gain 51 seats. Why are Republicans doing so well? …
What demographics are behind the Republican state edge? Ironically, it’s the same factor that many are citing as the possible reason for their demise in presidential elections: Republicans are increasingly the party of white and rural voters. Mitt Romney won white voters by 20pt, if you believe the exit polls. Romney took rural areas by 24pt. President Obama won non-whites by 62pt and took the largest cities by 40pt and moderate sized cities by 18pt. [cont.]
Harry Enten, The Guardian