… In an off year, Virginia is not a blue state: It leans Republican. In Virginia’s 2009 gubernatorial election, non-whites represented 22 percent of the electorate—down 8 points from 2008, while 18- to 29-year-olds represented just 10 percent of voters, down from 21 percent in 2008. Obama comfortably won Virginia by 4 points last November, but he would have lost if the electorate was as old and white as it was in 2009. [cont.]
Nate Cohn, New Republic