Eric Schickler writes:
“I wanted to offer a quick reply to John’s post suggesting that Republicans’ troubles do not necessarily run so deep at the moment – and thus do not require a serious reexamination of the party’s positioning. I agree with John that the GOP could certainly win the next presidential election – and could even gain unified control of government, if conditions break right for the party. …
“But while particular election results should be interpreted with caution, the most important long-term factor shaping each party’s electoral fortunes in the distribution of partisanship in the electorate. And trends in partisanship since 2004 are deeply troubling for the GOP. …” [cont.]
John Sides (George Washington U.), The Monkey Cage