Midterm elections are tough for the party in the White House. Since 1866 only thrice (1934, 1998, 2002) has the president’s party not lost seats in a midterm. In all three of those elections, they gained fewer than 10 seats, which isn’t even close to the 17 seats Democrats need to take the House today.
The GOP will probably maintain control come 2014, but there still seems to be some misunderstanding about what type of national wave it would take for Democrats to take back the House. [cont.]
Harry Enten, The Guardian