Contemplating Obama’s Place in History, Statistically

With President Obama’s second term under way, we have begun to see more reflections on how he might come to be regarded historically.

As common sense might dictate — and as the statistics will also reveal — it is far too soon to conclude very much about this. Second-term presidents may be derided as lame ducks, but it is often in the second term when reputations are won or lost. [cont.]

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight (NYT)