Assessing How Pivotal the Hispanic Vote Was to Obama’s Victory

… Looking at actual vote counts and the exit poll results from the recent election can provide insight into answering two important questions:

First, was Mr. Obama’s electoral victory dependent on high Hispanic turnout and support from a large percentage of the Hispanic vote?

And second, if the Hispanic vote did prove decisive in the outcome, how easy would it be for a Republican candidate to gain a significantly greater share than Mr. Romney in future elections, assuming the Republicans agree to some type of comprehensive immigration reform? [cont.]

Allison Kopicki & Will Irving, New York Times

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