White voter decline in 2012: the conundrum behind the cliche

… You’ve probably heard a demographic story like the one I’m about to tell you regarding the 2012 elections. President Obama won re-election by taking advantage of an expansion of the Latino portion of the electorate. In the network exit polls, Latinos grew their percentage of the electorate from 8.4% to 10%, while non-Hispanic whites fell from about 75% to 72%. …

But did whites really make up only 72% of the electorate in 2012? And did the percentage of Latinos voters really increase from 2008? The answer derived from pre-election surveys differs from exit polls. [cont.]

Harry Enten, The Guardian