What We Already Know

There are a number of conclusions that can be drawn from the 2012 presidential contest without trying to predict the winner. As the polls are about to open, let’s look at some of these developments, which fall into four broad categories that will shape the future of politics.

Demographic Trends: The first major development (or non-development) revealed by this year’s campaign is that the pro-Democratic demographic tidal wave threatening to swamp the Republican Party has not crested. The overwhelmingly white Republican Party remains competitive. [cont.]

Thomas Edsall, Columbia U. (NYT)