Why Romney Is Likely to Win

… Both political science and the political polls too often imply a scientific precision that I no longer think actually exists in American politics. I have slowly learned that politics is a lot more art than science than I once believed.

Accordingly, what follows is a prediction based on my interpretation of the lay of the land. I know others see it differently–and they could very well be right, and I could be wrong.

I think Mitt Romney is likely to win next Tuesday.

For two reasons: [cont.]

Jay Cost, The Weekly Standard