Never mind that Gallup poll, but pay attention to Wisconsin

The question that has occupied my mind in the previous few weeks is whether the divide between the state and national polling can keep up. State polls had suggested that Mitt Romney has rough road to 270 electoral votes, while the national polls actually had him ahead of President Obama.

The Gallup organization did nothing to discourage this discussion when it put out a poll Wednesday afternoon that had the Twitterverse churning: Mitt Romney leading by 6 points among likely voters and by 2 points among registered voters. Let me state right now that this poll result is almost certainly not correct. That doesn’t mean we should toss it aside, however. [cont.]

Harry Enten, The Guardian

See also: Wisconsin: Presidential and Senate races tied