Acknowledge the Limits of Prediction

… Gallup saw election polls as only the entering wedge for more important surveys on the issues of the day, which would restore political responsiveness by applying the new tool of statistical sampling “to the old problem of finding out what the people of this free-thinking, free-speaking democracy wish to do with their society.”

For a variety of reasons, that progressive vision did not pan out. [cont.]

Sarah Igo, Vanderbilt (NYT)