A common theme we keep hearing from conservatives who are unhappy with the public polls is that the surveys assume a 2012 electorate that looks a lot like the one in 2008. For instance, The Weekly Standard’s Jay Cost argues that we should be wary of polls showing a strong national and swing state advantage for President Obama for exactly that reason.
It’s worth considering Cost’s argument, because we’ll likely be hearing a lot of this. [cont.]
Jamelle Bouie, Washington Post