Before the conventions, I wrote that “If Obama still leads by 1.5 points once the convention dust has settled, it’s difficult for me to envisage how Obama will lose.” We are now past the conventions and President Obama still leads.
Any individual national poll is confusing, but the aggregate is a fairly clear Obama edge. Nine pollsters have conducted a survey with a median field date at least a week after the Democratic National Convention. President Obama has led in all of their surveys except for Rasmussen’s. [cont.]
Harry Enten, The Guardian